Trump, recession and Mark Zandi
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The Philadelphia Inquirer |
The odds of the economy suffering a recession in the coming year are uncomfortably high.
Reuters |
Goldman said in a report on Sunday that the new tariff rates announced by U.S. President Donald Trump would lower Chinese GDP growth by at least 0.7 percentage point this year.
MarketWatch |
In a media blitz on Sunday morning news shows, Trump administration officials pushed the message that Trump’s tariffs are the right way forward, despite the market chaos.
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18hon MSN
Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan economists said this weekend their baseline forecast under Trump's tariffs is for a recession.
Lower energy prices are one of Trump's campaign promises, but an oil price crash could hit US producer margins.
The report, headlined "There will be blood" and dated April 3, warns, "these policies, if sustained, would likely push the US and possibly ... placed the odds of recession at "pretty much a ...
Economists at Goldman Sachs have issued a more pessimistic forecast for the U.S. economy, saying the chances of a recession ... employees and layoffs may increase. A recession is defined as ...
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expects the yen to climb to the low 140 levels against the dollar this year as jitters around US growth and trade tariffs bolster demand for the safest assets.Most Read from B
Odds of a recession jumped to 54% on the betting platform Kalshi following Trump's tariffs. Stocks tanked Thursday on trade war angst.
An observable increase in crypto-based predictions markets suggests there may be more than a small chance of a U.S. recession in 2025. Traders at Polymarket now give a 56% chance that a recession hits this year, having climbed 37% in the last few weeks. This market alone has recorded over $1.2 million in trading volume.